Quantcast

ENC Weather Blog: Temperature Spread Today; Strong Storms Saturd - Greenville, NC | News | Weather | Sports - WNCT.com

ENC Weather Blog: Temperature Spread Today; Strong Storms Saturday

Posted: Updated:
The warming trend continues today across Eastern North Carolina but we'll have a few hurdles to get over for portions of the East.

TODAY: Wide range of temperatures will likely across the region through the afternoon hours. Models are depicting a coastal front to lift inland through the day; it'll take some time for it to erode away the colder air in the region, especially inland. Coastal areas will make a run deep into the 60s; central areas will run a little cooler, likely near 60. Northwest of the coastal front will be the best chance for showers this morning and will be the coolest areas on the board this afternoon. When we try to erode the cold air with a coastal front, it takes times for it to occur and the model have a hard time to depicting how far inland it will make it. We'll watch the trends through the day and adjust the forecast accordingly. Mostly cloudy skies for the most part but sunshine will peek through this morning.

TONIGHT: Clouds likely with scattered showers likely as well. Temperatures will rise or hold steady around 60 degrees overnight.

SATURDAY: Lots of things going on in the forecast for Saturday as a potent cold front pushes towards the region. The potential for strong to severe storms is turning more and more likely. The upper air dynamics will support a linear storm mode for Saturday. We'll be watching things very closely. This type of storm mode is more indicative to a damaging wind threat though isolated tornadoes will be not be able to be ruled out. But let's look at some of the parameters needed:

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK (SATURDAY)

        LIFT: You need a lifting mechanism, such as a frontal boundary or upper trough diving in to lift the air parcels into the atmosphere and get the storms             going....we'll have those in place.
       
        MOISTURE:
You need plenty of moisture to feed into the area of low pressure to condense, make the clouds and the rain when the lift occurs...we'll         have plenty of that in place. You'll feel the moisture increase through today. We could pick up 0.75 - 1.25" of rain before it's said and done.

        SHEAR: You need to have backing winds with altitude, meaning, winds out of the southerly route at the surface, but out of the westerly route further             into the atmosphere. We'll have enough turning of the winds, not only directionally, but also with speed (slower speeds near the surface, faster aloft)

        INSTABILITY: This will be the mitigating factor in whether severe storms can form. The model showing very little CAPE or the energy stored in the          atmosphere, though with successive model runs, that factor has been waning. It's something that we will be watching with new model runs later today to                 pinpoint things.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: Sunshine will come back in full force for Sunday as the system lifts out of the region. Cooler air will filter in briefly, keeping temperatures in the 50s and 60s both day.

TUESDAY: This day continues to be the wild card; the European model continues to paint another strong low pressure system developing and riding up the Appalachian chain, spreading heavy rains and could spell for strong storms again. The Canadian model is showing a coastal low that would impact areas EAST of US 17; while the GFS is a little more reserved, thinking just a few passing showers. For now, going with model run-to-run consistency, expecting more rain for Tuesday with temperatures near 60.

NEW LATE WEEK TOSS UP: The GFS and the European model are showing another blast of colder, Canadian air moving southward toward our area by late next week. Both models show the cooler temperatures and even show some moisture associated with the trough as well, but they are running a day apart from each other. The Euro is showing a cold-core upper level low that could cause some interesting mischief...we'll watch how the models evolve this weekend.

  • NewsMore>>

  • Probe exposes flaws behind HealthCare.gov rollout

    Probe exposes flaws behind HealthCare.gov rollout

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 9:22 PM EDT2014-07-31 01:22:44 GMT
    Management failures by the Obama administration set the stage for computer woes that paralyzed the president's new health care program last fall.
    Management failures by the Obama administration set the stage for computer woes that paralyzed the president's new health care program last fall.
  • 3 people killed, 3 deputies wounded in NC shootout

    3 people killed, 3 deputies wounded in NC shootout

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 6:52 PM EDT2014-07-30 22:52:28 GMT
    Three people died and three sheriff's deputies are wounded during shootout following a domestic dispute.Three people died and three sheriff's deputies are wounded during shootout following a domestic dispute.
    North Carolina authorities say a suspect killed in a deadly shootout sprayed his father-in-law's house with bullets from two 30-round magazines after his wife ran away from him in an argument.
    North Carolina authorities say a suspect killed in a deadly shootout sprayed his father-in-law's house with bullets from two 30-round magazines after his wife ran away from him in an argument.
  • Man found not guilty in Duke student's death

    Man found not guilty in Duke student's death

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 6:42 PM EDT2014-07-30 22:42:47 GMT
    Laurence Lovette is found not guilty in the murder of Duke graduate student, Abhijit Mahato.Laurence Lovette is found not guilty in the murder of Duke graduate student, Abhijit Mahato.
    The man serving a life sentence for the shooting death of the student body president at the University of North Carolina six years ago has been found not guilty in the death of a Duke University graduate student.
    The man serving a life sentence for the shooting death of the student body president at the University of North Carolina six years ago has been found not guilty in the death of a Duke University graduate student.
  • Extreme WeatherMore>>

  • Landslide hits Indian village, killing at least 18

    Landslide hits Indian village, killing at least 18

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 10:49 PM EDT2014-07-31 02:49:32 GMT
    An Indian official says that more than 150 people are feared buried under a landslide that hit a village in western India following torrential rains.
    Rescuers worked in rain Thursday to dig through a remote village in western India where at least 21 people died as a landslide swept away scores of houses, possibly trapping many more people under debris, officials said.
  • House GOP scrambles for votes on border bill

    House GOP scrambles for votes on border bill

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 10:22 PM EDT2014-07-31 02:22:26 GMT
    A bill to deal with the immigration surge at the border appears headed for procedural defeat in the Senate.
    House Republicans, scrambling to win conservative support for a bill addressing the immigration crisis on the border, have scheduled a companion vote on legislation to block President Barack Obama from extending...
  • Colorado man dies when trailer collapses in wind

    Colorado man dies when trailer collapses in wind

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 4:57 PM EDT2014-07-30 20:57:30 GMT
    Northern Colorado got the brunt of heavy rains that flooded streets and stranded drivers up and down the Front Range.
    Heavy rain has brought much-needed moisture to Colorado's drought-stricken plains and has tested the recovery efforts in the foothill communities hit hard by flooding in September.
  • Most Recent SlideshowsMore>>

  • AP PHOTOS: Coal-exporting town fights rising seas

    AP PHOTOS: Coal-exporting town fights rising seas

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 6:56 PM EDT2014-07-30 22:56:37 GMT
    Norfolk is trapped between the causes and consequences of global warming.
    Norfolk is trapped between the causes and consequences of global warming.
  • AP PHOTOS: Cambodians attend Khmer Rouge tribunal

    AP PHOTOS: Cambodians attend Khmer Rouge tribunal

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 8:36 AM EDT2014-07-30 12:36:41 GMT
    By The Associated Press Buddhist monks and ordinary Cambodians attended a hearing Wednesday in which a U.N.-backed tribunal prepared for the genocide trial later this year of two surviving...
    By The Associated Press Buddhist monks and ordinary Cambodians attended a hearing Wednesday in which a U.N.-backed tribunal prepared for the genocide trial later this year of two surviving leaders of the...
  • AP PHOTOS: Face of Syrian war seen in youngest

    AP PHOTOS: Face of Syrian war seen in youngest

    Wednesday, July 30 2014 4:28 AM EDT2014-07-30 08:28:08 GMT
    At Jordan's Zaatari refugee camp near the border with Syria, the horror of the neighboring country's civil war can be seen in the faces of its youngest refugees.
    At Jordan's Zaatari refugee camp near the border with Syria, the horror of the neighboring country's civil war can be seen in the faces of its youngest refugees.
Powered by WorldNow

3221 South Evans Street
Greenville N.C. 27834

Telephone: 252.355.8500
Fax: 252.355.8568
Email: newsdesk@wnct.com

Can't find something?
Powered by WorldNow
All content © Copyright 2000 - 2014 Media General Communications Holdings, LLC. A Media General Company.