ATLANTA (AP) — The Atlanta Falcons are rebuilding.
The Carolina Panthers are in a major state of flux.
Not too worry.
In the pitiful NFC South, both of these scuffling teams are still contenders.
Every team in the NFL’s weakest division has a losing record. The Falcons (3-4) moved into first place when Tampa Bay (3-5) lost to Baltimore on Thursday night, while the Panthers (2-5) and New Orleans are just a game behind.
“We do understand that it is a division game,” Falcons quarterback Marcus Mariota said, looking ahead to Sunday’s home contest against the Panthers. “You’ve got to create somewhat of a lead in your division, you want to create separation. This is where it starts.”
Atlanta knew it could be in for a long season after trading quarterback Matt Ryan and taking a huge salary cap hit.
But the Falcons probably didn’t envision the rest of the division coming along for the ride.
“Honestly, I don’t try to think about anything other than winning this game,” Mariota said. “I try to not make it more than what it is.”
The Panthers are hanging around, too, even after firing coach Matt Rhule and trading star running back Christian McCaffrey to the 49ers for a haul of draft picks.
Carolina is coming off its best performance of the season, a 21-3 upset of Tom Brady and the struggling Buccaneers.
“We knew what (McCaffrey) meant to this team,” quarterback P.J. Walker said. “We knew what he brought to the table, but we still had to go out there and execute and go out there and play at a high level.”
Panthers interim coach Steve Wilks took over a team that was ranked last in offense two weeks ago and made it a point to find an identity.
That meant running the ball.
D’Onta Foreman and Chuba Hubbard combined to rush for 181 yards on the ground against the Bucs. Hubbard was ruled out for Sunday’s game with an ankle injury, but the Panthers still intend to run the ball against the Falcons to set up the play-action pass.
“That is the mindset that I wanted to create up front — just blue collar, hard working and pushing the pile,” Wilks said.
The Falcons know exactly what he’s talking about.
With few threats in the passing game, coach Arthur Smith has steadfastly refused to open things up for quarterback Marcus Mariota.
Atlanta has thrown just 27 passes the last two weeks, relying instead on a grind-it-out running game led by rookie Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley.
The lack of a passing game has made All-Pro tight end Kyle Pitts an afterthought in the Falcons’ offense.
The second-year player has just 16 catches for 178 yards and a touchdown, far off the pace he produced in his stellar rookie season.
Last week, Pitts was held to a season-low 9 yards on three receptions in a 35-17 loss at Cincinnati.
With so much emphasis on the running game, the Falcons have just three players with double-figure receptions on the season.
This year’s No. 1 pick, Drake London, leads the team with some very ordinary numbers: 26 catches for 315 yards and two scores.
“There are certain games where we haven’t had to pass that much,” Smith said. “Every game, you go in there to have balance and we have plays and those guys are a big part of our offense.”
WALKER EARNS START
Baker Mayfield will be active for the game, but the Panthers are sticking with Walker as their starting quarterback.
Walker kept the No. 1 spot after completing 16 of 22 passes for 177 yards and two scores against Tampa Bay.
Walker, who was undrafted, is now ahead of the QB taken No. 1 overall in the 2018 draft.
The Panthers also have the No. 3 pick from that draft, Sam Darnold, who has returned to practice but remains on injured reserve.
“I’m not going to go into details on the conversations,” Wilks said of his QB depth chart. “Each and every week, I meet with all three of those guys … so we’re all in the room together. I don’t try to talk to each of them separately because I want to make sure we have great communication and clarity on what I’m saying to the group.”
Wilks said Mayfield was aware of “exactly where we were going this week, and he knows his role, and he was fine with that.”
No matter who lines up at quarterback for the Panthers, they are going to be facing a secondary that is especially vulnerable because of a rash of injuries.
Cornerback Casey Hayward is on injured reserve with a shoulder injury, and two other starters — corner A.J. Terrell (hamstring) and safety Jaylinn Hawkins (concussion) — went down against the Bengals and won’t be able to suit up Sunday.
The situation has been so desperate that Smith considered moving running back Avery Williams to the other side of the line.
“Very close,” the coach said.
WINNING THIRD DOWNS
The Panthers’ biggest area of concern on offense has been third down.
They have converted just 25% of their third-down opportunities, which is by far the worst in the league. By comparison, the league-leading Buffalo Bills are converting nearly 53% of their third-down chances.
The Falcons also have done a much better job on third down than the Panthers. Atlanta ranks fifth in the NFL with a 44% conversion rate.
CAROLINA (2-5) at ATLANTA (3-4)
Sunday, 1 p.m. EDT, Fox
OPENING LINE: Falcons by 4½, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
AGAINST THE SPREAD: Panthers 2-5, Falcons 6-1.
SERIES RECORD: Falcons lead 34-20.
LAST MEETING: Falcons beat Panthers 29-21 on Dec. 12, 2021, in Charlotte.
LAST WEEK: Panthers upset Buccaneers 21-3; Falcons lost to Bengals 35-17.
PANTHERS OFFENSE: OVERALL (32), RUSH (23), PASS (28), SCORING (t-26).
PANTHERS DEFENSE: OVERALL (18), RUSH (21), PASS (19), SCORING (17).
FALCONS OFFENSE: OVERALL (27), RUSH (4), PASS (31), SCORING (12).
FALCONS DEFENSE: OVERALL (23), RUSH (5), PASS (32) SCORING (24).
TURNOVER DIFFERENTIAL: Panthers minus-2, Falcons plus-4.
PANTHERS PLAYER TO WATCH: RB D’Onta Foreman. With Christian McCaffrey now in San Francisco and Chuba Hubbard out this week with an ankle injury, the Panthers will rely on Foreman to carry the ball in a run-heavy offense. Foreman ran for 118 yards last week. He proved he could handle a big workload last season while filling in for the injured Derrick Henry in Tennessee.
FALCONS PLAYER TO WATCH: TE Kyle Pitts has been largely shut down by defenses that know the Falcons don’t have many deep threats and want to run the ball as much as possible. He had just three catches for a season-low 9 yards in last week’s loss to the Bengals. For the season, Pitts has 16 catches for 178 yards and one touchdown — far behind the pace of a Pro Bowl rookie campaign in which he had 68 receptions for 1,026 yards. The Falcons must find more ways to get him involved in the offense.
KEY MATCHUP: Panthers QB P.J. Walker faces a Falcons team that ranks last in the league in pass defense and will be missing three starters in the secondary. Carolina’s focus will remain on running the football, but the Falcons need to beware of the play-action pass. Walker threw for 177 yards and two scores last week against the Bucs and the coaching staff is beginning to gain confidence in him as a passer.
KEY INJURIES: In addition to Hubbard being out, Carolina lost starting C Pat Elflein to a season-ending hip injury. Bradley Bozeman filled in well last week. CB Jaycee Horn missed the past two games with a rib injury, but there is optimism he will return. … Atlanta’s secondary has been ravaged by injuries. CB Casey Hayward is on injured reserve with a shoulder issue, CB A.J. Terrell (hamstring) and S Jaylinn Hawkins (concussion) were ruled out for Sunday’s game, and key backup Dee Alford is questionable because of an ailing hamstring. The offense, meanwhile, is still dealing with the absence of dynamic playmaker Cordarrelle Patterson, who has been on IR since Week 4 with a knee injury.
SERIES NOTES: The Falcons have dominated the I-85 series between NFC South rivals, winning 10 of the past 13 meetings. The Panthers have made strides, however, by winning two of the past three.
STATS AND STUFF: Carolina has lost 12 of its past 14 games. … The Panthers are 1-1 under interim coach Steve Wilks. … Walker is 3-1 as an NFL starting QB with eight interceptions and four TD passes. … Baker Mayfield is expected to be Walker’s backup this week after missing two games with an ankle injury. … The Panthers have yet to score more than 24 points in a game this season. … TE Tommy Tremble got his first receiving touchdown of the season on a 29-yard pass from Walker last week. … DE Brian Burns is tied for third league-wide with eight tackles for loss and tied for 13th with five sacks. … The Falcons have not been above .500 since the end of the 2017 season. … Atlanta is 2-1 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. … QB Marcus Mariota has thrown just 27 passes the past two games. Against Cincinnati, he completed eight of 13 for 124 yards, one a 75-yard touchdown. … The beat-up secondary allowed 481 yards and three TDs to the Bengals. … The Falcons have run the ball 69 times while attempting just 27 passes the past two weeks. … Only three Atlanta players — Drake London (26), Olamide Zaccheaus (19) and Pitts — have double-digit receptions. … ILB Rashaan Evans has proven to be quite a bargain after signing a $1.75 million, one-year contract with the Falcons. He has a team-high 35 solo tackles and 29 assists, along with three pass breakups and two fumble recoveries.
FANTASY TIP: WR D.J. Moore has had a quiet start to the season, but there was obvious chemistry last week with Walker. Moore was targeted 10 times and caught seven passes for 69 yards including a 20-yard TD, his second of the season. Facing the league’s 32nd ranked pass defense, Moore could be in line for a breakout game.